Shadow Inventory of Homes to Take Nearly 3 Years to Clear: S&P

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NAR Estimates Shadow Inventory by State. At that rate the current shadow inventory would clear in 7 months. While no other state comes close to New Jersey, other states facing protracted number of months to clear inventories are New Mexico (38), New york (34) colorado and Rhode Island (32), and Delaware (30).

biggest financial crisis in more than 75 years and made 2009 the first.. 3. A collapse of market liquidity is the greatest risk to which a. clearly labeled as subprime have been 5.4% of those outstanding. The inventory of unsold new homes built up as supply outstripped.. The S&P 500 dropped 8.79%.

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Pinellas and Pasco courts had nearly 29,000 pending foreclosures by April, more even than a year ago, showing judges were unable to clear old cases quicker. but hurting neighborhood home values..

The “stall” was their renewed slide, based on the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price. are notoriously hard to predict. The inventory of existing homes stood at 3.71 million in November, about where it was.

We presently estimate a prospective 10-year nominal total return for the S&P 500 of less than 3.5% annually. The likelihood of even this return being achieved smoothly, without severe intervening volatility and steep market losses, is roughly zero. This does not imply or ensure immediate market losses, but it doesn’t need to.

Residential Real Estate Is Ready to Recover. The housing market’s shadow inventory of unsold homes is starting to. nearly 30% of the company’s communities have increased home prices. (A year.

According to S&P, as of May 2012, 49% of defaulted mortgages from non-judicial states and 64% of defaulted mortgages from judicial states were in default for more than two years. "Shadow inventory" refers to the supply of distressed homes that are 90 or more days delinquent on mortgage payments, are in foreclosure or are REO properties.

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At the current sales pace, the actual inventory of existing homes for sale would take about 11 months to work through. Adding in the shadow inventory-which is about the same size as the actual inventory-roughly doubles the time to just under two years. Not.

I responded that the shadow inventory that has plagued housing over the past four years is starting to clear. As an example, the Phoenix market had over 17 months of inventory and supply in early 2011.